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Christopher Coyne and Abigail Hall explore this at length in their new book, Manufacturing Militarism. Without constant threat inflation, it would be difficult to garner sufficient political support for most of what the US does in the world.
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Threat inflation is the foreign policy establishment’s bread and butter. Is there a tendency to exaggerate threats to the US and its allies? Of course.
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Intervention of one kind or another is practically taken as a given. The main and sometimes only disagreements about how the US should respond to a foreign crisis or conflict are not over whether the US should involve itself, but only over how it does so and to what extent. Is there an interventionist consensus among foreign policy scholars and policymakers? Yes, there clearly is. Take Kelly’s three points and ask if his observations are supported by the evidence. role in the world and the desirability and necessity of US “leadership. The critics’ response to this is that the differences that do exist are usually fairly small, and almost everyone shares consensus assumptions about the U.S. When defenders of the foreign policy establishment deride the “Blob” label, they usually argue that the establishment is not monolithic and contains a wide range of views. I do think there is: 1) an interventionist consensus, 2) a tendency to exaggerate threats to the US and its allies, and 3) support a forward-in-the-world foreign policy which is not necessarily in America’s interest, especially in the Middle East, where I think it is pretty clear that we are over-extended. He sent me the comments he made, some of which I include here with his permission. Robert Kelly, professor of political science at Pusan National University in South Korea, was one of the critics contacted for comment, but nothing that he said made it into the final article. Judging from the finished product, one might think that the author didn’t even talk to any critics of foreign policy establishment groupthink and conformism, but that was not the case. There is probably nothing more blobbish than an article that quotes several high-profile pundits and analysts as they dismiss their detractors as ignorant and lazy without giving the other side a chance to be heard. The funny thing is that the article reproduced exactly the sort of groupthink and hostility to outside criticism implied by the “Blob” label. Last week, The New York Times published an article about Afghanistan and the foreign policy “Blob,” and it was written in a way that mocked the term and the critics that use it.